Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.569144 7.790665 9.140352 10.737291 12.569921 14.601848 17.019657
2025-02-09 4.952614 6.574306 8.539534 11.075437 14.237774 18.026385 22.881072
2025-02-16 3.782285 5.532586 7.826479 11.006631 15.247492 20.648380 27.976821
2025-02-23 2.889938 4.616628 7.043896 10.627231 15.688929 22.475708 32.132104
2025-03-02 2.231088 3.869678 6.326790 10.166241 15.874147 23.879406 35.744703
2025-03-09 1.848037 3.449726 5.992405 10.166349 16.648424 26.090403 40.569505
2025-03-16 1.558165 3.116829 5.725959 10.206862 17.445579 28.352269 45.587817
2025-03-23 1.315842 2.814340 5.453445 10.183293 18.110309 30.432197 50.446190
2025-03-30 1.061595 2.436248 4.988615 9.767593 18.080905 31.413377 53.667792
2025-04-06 0.909393 2.223670 4.781578 9.758728 18.701518 33.434176 58.604925
2025-04-13 0.775404 2.019935 4.557337 9.683245 19.185281 35.246565 63.300091
2025-04-20 0.722408 1.981437 4.646459 10.193665 20.733388 38.911051 71.212152
2025-04-27 0.661381 1.916155 4.679094 10.612233 22.176142 42.536540 79.356993
2025-05-04 0.612226 1.869752 4.744982 11.103753 23.796482 46.577929 88.451053
2025-05-11 0.530452 1.722889 4.570637 11.084501 24.443585 48.945726 94.808228
2025-05-18 0.438570 1.525987 4.251022 10.718063 24.375438 50.013816 98.943913
2025-05-25 0.356857 1.334689 3.910501 10.258315 24.067860 50.604810 102.241540
2025-06-01 0.311500 1.238627 3.785151 10.259896 24.692935 52.960968 108.836843
2025-06-08 0.274075 1.157205 3.683214 10.301199 25.399526 55.507548 115.906335
2025-06-15 0.239015 1.073478 3.560863 10.277589 25.960624 57.799045 122.609499
2025-06-22 0.195178 0.944578 3.291316 9.858599 25.614801 58.274303 125.890281
2025-06-29 0.170746 0.879444 3.190713 9.849677 26.180189 60.600152 132.830005
2025-07-06 0.147696 0.811807 3.070327 9.773591 26.582357 62.611526 139.249800